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Dear Aspiring Writers: The Worst Advice You'll Ever Read
A Literary Look at
Spirited Away: Decay and Renewal
An American Poem
Taoist Chinese Poems
The Nelson Touch
"It's all about oil, isn't it?"
Kurosawa's High and Low
A Bountiful Mutiny
Howl's Moving Castle
Thailand's Iron Ladies
Trois Colours: Red
The Thin Man: Thoroughly Modern Movies
Why My Book Is Better Than the DaVinci Code
Iranian Films: The Mirror
A Real Pirate Movie: Captain Blood
American Identity Literary Contest Winners, 2006
(fiction and essays)
Hapas: The New America
Can You Tell What I am? Part I
Can You Tell What I am? Part II
Only in America
Your Tattoo in 50 Years
The American House and Frank Lloyd Wright
On Hatred and Anti-Americanism
Germany: We All Have Problems, But...
This Blog Sells Out
Doom and Gloom Sells
The Kroika Mascot-"Auspicious Pet"
Wal-Mart and Kroika
Kroika and Starsbuck Take a Hit
Kroika Ad 1
Kroika Ad 2
Kroika Ad 3
Kroika Ad 4
Kroika Makes Bid for Oreo (April 1)
Unfolding Crises: Asia
China: An Interim Report
Shanghai Postcard 2004
Corruption and Avian Flu: China's Dynamic Duo
Exporting the Real Estate Bubble to China
Is the Bloom Off the China Rose?
China Irony: Steel, Marx & Capital
Curing The U.S. and China's Dysfunctional Relationship
China and U.S. Inflation
Trade with China: Making Out Like a Bandit
Will the Housing Bust Take Down China?
China's Dependence on Exports to U.S.; Is China About to Pop?
Battle for the Soul
Katrina, Vietnam, Iraq: National Purpose, National Sacrifice
Is This a Nation at War?
A Nation in Denial
Why Is This Such a Tepid Time?
That Price Isn't Cheap, It's Subsidized
The Most Hated Company in America
U.S. Fascists Seek Ban on Cancer Vaccine
The Truth About Christmas
American Dream or American Nightmare?
2006 Sea Change
Obesity and Debt
U.S. Healthcare: Working Toward a Real Solution
A Drug Industry Running Amok
Where There Is Ruin
Financial Meltdown Watch
What This Country Needs Is a... Good Recession
Are We Entering the Next Age of Turmoil?
Why Inflation Appears Low
Doubling Down on 5-Card No-See-Um
A Rickety Global House of Cards
Are Japan and Germany Truly on the Mend?
Unprecedented Risk 2
Could One Rogue Trader Bring Down the Market?
Worried about Inflation? Stop Measuring It
Economy Great? Bah, Humbug
Huge Deficits and Huge Profits: Coincidence?
Who's The Largest Exporter?
Three Snapshots of the U.S. Economy
Loaded for Bear
Comparing Nasdaq to Depression-Era Dow
Who's Buying Treasury Bonds? And Why?
Derivatives: Wall Street Fiddles, Rome Smolders
Financial Chickens Coming Home to Roost
Is the Stock Market on the Same Planet as the Economy?
The Housing-Recession-Oil-Healthcare Connection
Could We Have Deflation and Inflation At the Same Time?
What We Know, What We Can Safely Predict
Bankruptcy U.S.A.: Medicare, Greed and Collapse
A Whiff of Apocalypse
Where There Is Ruin II: Social Security
Planetary Meltdown Watch
The Immensity of Global Warming
Sun Sets on Skeptics of Global Warming
Housing Bubble Watch
A Monster of a Housing Bubble
A Coup de Grace to the Economy
Hidden Costs of the Housing Bubble
Housing Bubble? What Bubble?
Housing Bubble II
Housing Bubble III: Pop!
Housing Market Slips Toward Cliff
Housing Market Demographics
Housing: Catching the Falling Knife
Five Stages of the Housing Bubble
Derailing the Property Tax Gravy Train
Bubbling Property Taxes
Have You Checked Your Property Taxes Recently?
Housing Bubble: Where's the Bottom?
Housing Bubble: Bottom II
The Housing - Inflation Connection
The Coming Foreclosure Nightmare 1
How Many Foreclosures Will Hit the Market?
Housing Wealth Effect Shifts Into Reverse
Housing Bubble Bust Will Take Down the Global Economy
The New Road to Serfdom: A Negative-Equity Mortgage
The Housing-Savings-Recession Connection
After the Bubble: How Low Will It Go?
After the Bubble: Rents and Housing Values
Why Post-Bubble Rents Matter
After the Bubble: How Low Will We Go, Part II
Housing: 10% Decline May Trigger Financial Ruin
How to Buy a $450K Home for $750K
Inflation and Housing: Calculating the Bust
The Growing Financial Risks of the Housing Bubble
Construction Defects: The Flood to Come?
Who Gets Hammered in the 2007 Housing Bust
Real Estate Bust: The Exhaustion of Debt
What Happens When Housing Employment Plummets?
One More Hole in the Housing Bubble: Insurance
Financial Kryptonite in a "Super-Strength" Housing Market
Three Secrets to Unloading Property Today
Welcome to Fantasyland: Housing's "Soft Landing"
Why Is the Median House Price Still Rising?
Why Median Prices Appear to be Rising?
The Root Cause of the Housing Bubble
Housing Dominoes Fall
Twilight for Exurbia?
Phase Transitions, Symmetry and Post-Bubble Declines
Housing's Stairstep Descent
How much Is a Gallon of Gas Worth?
The End of Cheap Oil
Natural Gas, Naturally High
Arab Oil Money and U.S. Treasuries: Quid Pro Quo?
The C.I.A., Oil and the Wisdom of Crowds
The Flutter of a Butterfly's Wings?
A One-Two Punch to a Glass Jaw
Running Out Of Oil vs. Running Out of Cheap Oil
Outside the Box
How to Make a Favicon
In Memoriam: Winky Cosmos
The Wheeled Vagabonds
Geezer Rock Overload
Paying for Web Content
Light-As-Air Pancake Recipe
In a Humorous Vein
If Only Writers Had Uniforms
Opening the Kimono
Happiness for Sale: Jank Coffee
Ten Guaranteed Predictions for 2010
Why My Book Is Better Than the DaVinci Code
My Brand Management Stinks
The New Jank Coffee Shop
Jank Coffee, Upscale Tropic Style
Keys to Affordable Housing
U.S. Conservation & China
Steve Toma, Me & Skil 77s: 30 years of Labor
Real Science in the Bolivian Forest
Deforestation and Sustainable Forestry
The Solar Economy (book)
The Problem with Techno-Fixes
I Love Technology, I Hate Technology
How To Blow off Web Ads and More
Health, Wealth & Demographics
Beauty of the Augmented (Korean) Kind
Demographics and War
The Healthiest Cold Cereal: Surprise!
900 Miles to the Gallon
Are Our Cities Making Us Fat?
One Serving of Deception
Is Obesity an Inflammatory Response?
Demographics & National Bankruptcy
The Decline of Europe: A Demographic Done Deal?
Are the Risks of Obesity Overstated?
Healthcare: Unaffordable Everywhere
The New Disease We Just Know You've Got
Can You Can Tell Which Pill Is Fake?
Bankruptcy U.S.A.: Medicare, Greed and Collapse
The 10 Secrets to Permanent Weight Loss
Selling the Landscape
The Downside of Density
Building Heights and Arboral Roots
Terroir: France & California
L.A.: It's About Cheap Oil
The Last Redwood
Waimea Canyon, Yosemite, Camping & Pancakes
The French Village Bakery
What Is Happiness?
Our Education System: a Factory Metaphor?
Understanding Globalization: Braudel
Can You Create Creativity?
Do Average People Know More Than Their Leaders?
On The Impermanence of Work
Flattening the Knowledge Curve: The "Googling" Effect
Human Bandwidth and Knowledge
Splogs, Blogs and "News"
"There is no alternative to being yourself"
Is There a Cycle to War?
Leisure, Time and Valentines
Is the Web a Giant Copy Machine?
Anti-Missile Defense: Boost Phase Vulnerability
The Strolling Bones: Rock of Ages
Bad Karma: Election Fraud 1960
Hiroshima: First Use
All the Tea in China, All the Ginseng in America
The Origins of Carbonara
Oil and Renewable Energy
Wine and Alzheimers
Biggest Consumers of Chocolate
The Misbehavior of Markets
Boiling Point (Global Warming)
Our Stolen Future: How We Are Threatening Our Fertility, Intelligence and Survival
How We Know What Isn't So
Fewer: How the New Demography of Depopulation Will Shape Our Future
The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Know about America's Economic Future
The Third Chimpanzee: The Evolution and Future of the Human Animal
The Future of Life
Beyond Oil: The View from Hubbert's Peak
The Party's Over: Oil, War and the Fate of Industrial Societies
Twilight in the Desert: The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy
The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future
The Dollar Crisis: Causes, Consequences, Cures
Running On Empty: How The Democratic and Republican Parties Are Bankrupting Our Future and What Americans Can Do About It
Feeling Good: The New Mood Therapy Revised and Updated.
The Fourth Turning
More book reviews
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weblog December 2005
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weblog October 2005
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weblog August 2005
weblog July 2005
weblog June 2005
weblog May 2005
What's New, 2/03 - 5/05
October 2007 Entries
How To Win the Election in 2008 (Fed Meeting Special)
(October 31, 2007)
Empire of Lies, Kingdom of Magical Thinking
(October 30, 2007)
Beware of Speculative "Sure Things"
(October 29, 2007)
Could Oil Prices Collapse?
(October 26, 2007)
Is a Weak Dollar Really That Wonderful for the Nation?
(October 25, 2007)
Why Mortgage Rates Will Rise Despite Fed Rates Cuts
(October 24, 2007)
Web of Deception and What Must Be Hidden
(October 23, 2007)
Housing Declines: Don't Forget About Inflation
(October 22, 2007)
The Yen Revisited
(October 20, 2007)
"I'll Just Rent It Out"--Don't Be Too Sure
(October 19, 2007)
(October 18, 2007)
How We Can Have Both Inflation and Deflation
(October 17, 2007)
How the U.S. Media Failed Homebuyers
(October 16, 2007)
The Yen, the Dollar and the Dow
(October 15, 2007)
Readers' Picks: Books and Movies Extravaganza
(October 13, 2007)
Hooray for the Small Press--and the Web
(October 12, 2007)
Reader's Choice: World War II books
(October 12, 2007)
Insight: or, In a New Light
(October 11, 2007)
(October 10, 2007)
The State of the Novel
(October 9, 2007)
World War II Books
(October 8, 2007)
Department of Corrections
(October 5, 2007)
Why You Should Pay More Taxes--Yes, You
(October 4, 2007)
How Does a Hedge Work? Here's How
(October 3, 2007)
What If Insurance Isn't Really Insurance?
(October 2, 2007)
What's Behind the Door?
(October 1, 2007)
To view all September entries, go to weblog September 2007.
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Financial contributors who have made multiple donations to this modest site or a donation of $50 or more. If such a generous madness strikes you, I offer you a small token of my appreciation: a signed copy of my novel I-State Lines. Thank you for your ongoing support and encouragement.
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wEssay noun, combination of 'web' and 'essay,' denoting a short online essay which exploits the hyperlinks, interfaces and interactive capabilities of the World Wide Web; coined by Charles Hugh Smith on May 1, 2005, in Berkeley California.
Aphorisms I like:
"Economic history is a never-ending series of episodes based on falsehoods and lies, not truths. It represents the path to big money. The object is to recognize the trend whose premise is false, ride that trend, and step off before it is discredited." (George Soros)
"The way of the Tao is reversal." (Lao Tzu)
"Chance favours the prepared mind.” (Louis Pasteur)
"It is neither necessary to hope to undertake, nor to succeed to persevere." (French proverb)
"You must have a willingness to do something when everyone else is petrified. You must learn the lesson of following logic over emotion." (Warren Buffett)
"Success consists of going from failure to failure without loss of enthusiasm." (Winston Churchill)
"May a fair road always be open to you." (CHS, April 2, 2006)
All content and images copyright © 2006 - 2007 Charles Hugh Smith, All rights reserved in all media, unless otherwise credited or noted.
This Month's commentaries:
This Month's Journal Essays
Why can't they stop computer viruses?
(Michael Goodfellow, 10/23/07)
World War I: Recommended Books
(Lloyd L., 10/23/07)
NASA and the Warmest Year (Michael Goodfellow, 10/14/07)
Another First For England (Protagoras, 10/14/07)
Wherever you are (poem) (Protagoras, 10/14/07)
Remembering the Mahatma
Bring Me the Flesh of a Purple Habanero (poem)
Icons of my youth: Ezra Pound Protagoras
It's not (just) a credit crunch Michael Goodfellow
40 Days In The Desert: Denial & Ephemeral Finance in Post-American Century John Grey
Beyond Insurgency An End to Our War in Iraq
Fabius Maximus (external link)
Icons of my youth: Thomas Hardy Protagoras
Icons of my youth: Sailing to Byzantium Protagoras
In Praise of the Standing Lug Protagoras
The Economic Significance of Unlimited Derivative Works in the Software Business
In praise of the Santoku knife
A Transcontinental Journey
Kissing Frogs: The Greatest Risk
(An author on writing)
Peak Oil and Soil
by Eric Andrews
The Great Unraveling
by Chuck D.
The TQM Diet (satire)
Loyalty, Impeachment and 'Supporting the President'
by Harun I.
Icons of my youth: Frank Leavis
Equal Killing Rights (satire)
Our Story So Far
The Hockey Stick Breaks
Love in the Time of Syphilis
What to do about Health Care?
Memo to the next UK Prime Minister
Political Elites & Some Predictions
The Fort Dix Terror Plot
by Harun I.
The French Presidential Elections
by John Kinsella
Wal-Mart, disequilibria, and global economic dislocation
by Harun I.
The Recent UK Elections
The Evolution of Social Behaviour by Protagoras
Is Everybody Happy?
Memories of Lana'i by Bill Murath
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Marin Real Estate Bubble
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California Housing Forecast
Dr. Housing Bubble (SoCal)
View from Silicon Valley
Credit Flow Investor
Great Depression 2006
geopolitics, modern war
John Francis Kinsella
author/painter Sumpinein (blog)
"Letter from Basque Country"
Financial Armageddon Michael Panzner
The Rhythm of War Terence Parker
(chimes & art)
James Howard Kunstler
Animals to Zombies
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